How Healthcare Spending Distorts the American Economy

Healthcare spending is not a neutral transfer of resources from the healthy to the sick. It is a distributional machine that quietly moves wealth upward through the specific design of statutes, scoring conventions, accounting rules, and monetary facilities. The main entity here is the healthcare-finance complex: the interlocking system of Medicare, Medicaid, employer-sponsored insurance, tax expenditures, hospital consolidation, and Federal Reserve liquidity operations that treats medical outlays as a technical problem while embedding regressive transfers in every layer. Adjacent concepts include cost-shifting, tax expenditure scoring, prospective payment systems, facility fees, and risk adjustment. For readers of this blog, the question is not whether healthcare is expensive. The question is who gets paid, who gets billed, and which rules make that outcome look inevitable.

Doctor reviewing medical charts in a hospital setting

This article examines how healthcare spending distorts the American economy by tracing the institutional plumbing rather than the moral panic. It looks at the statutes that created the current payment architecture, the scoring conventions that hide its fiscal weight, the accounting rules that turn nonprofit hospitals into rent-extraction vehicles, and the monetary facilities that have made healthcare debt a durable asset class. The argument is not that healthcare is broken. The argument is that healthcare is working exactly as the rules were built to work.

The Tax Expenditure That Dwarfs Every Other Subsidy

Start with the largest and least visible federal healthcare program: the employer-sponsored insurance exclusion. Under Section 106 of the Internal Revenue Code, employer contributions to health insurance premiums are excluded from workers’ taxable income. The Joint Committee on Taxation scores this as a tax expenditure of roughly $300 billion per year, making it the single largest federal subsidy for healthcare. It is larger than the entire budget of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, larger than the Department of Education, and larger than most cabinet agencies combined.

The exclusion is not a neutral accounting convention. It is a deliberate statutory choice that delivers the largest benefit to the highest earners. A worker in the 37 percent marginal tax bracket receives a subsidy worth 37 cents on every dollar of employer-paid premium. A worker in the 10 percent bracket receives 10 cents. A worker without employer coverage receives nothing. The distributional effect is not incidental; it is the design. The exclusion was codified in the Revenue Act of 1954, not as a health policy but as a wartime wage-control workaround. It has never been subject to a floor vote on its merits as a health program.

The scoring convention matters here. When the Congressional Budget Office scores a direct spending program, it counts every dollar as an outlay. When it scores the employer exclusion, it counts the revenue loss as a tax expenditure, which is reported in a separate analytical volume and excluded from the headline deficit. The result is a fiscal illusion: the largest federal health subsidy is invisible in the appropriations process, while Medicaid, which serves the poorest patients, is subject to annual budget caps, work requirements, and block-grant proposals. The rules are built, not given.

Medicare’s Prospective Payment System and the Rise of the Hospital Corporation

Medicare did not create hospital consolidation, but it built the pricing architecture that made consolidation profitable. The Social Security Amendments of 1983 replaced cost-based reimbursement with the Inpatient Prospective Payment System, which pays hospitals a fixed amount per diagnosis-related group. The stated goal was to control costs. The actual effect was to turn hospitals into price-discriminating firms that could shift costs onto private payers and extract facility fees from outpatient settings.

Under the prospective payment system, a hospital receives the same Medicare payment for a given diagnosis regardless of its actual costs. A hospital with market power can negotiate higher rates from private insurers, which then pass those rates to employers and workers through premiums and deductibles. The hospital can also acquire physician practices and reclassify them as hospital outpatient departments, which allows it to bill a facility fee on top of the physician fee for the same service. The facility fee is not a medical cost; it is a legal artifact of the hospital’s corporate status. It exists because the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services created separate payment categories for hospital outpatient departments and physician offices, and because private insurers copied that structure.

The distributional effect is stark. A colonoscopy performed in a physician office might cost $1,000. The same procedure performed in a hospital outpatient department might cost $2,500, with the difference flowing to the hospital’s balance sheet. The patient pays a higher copay, the employer pays a higher premium, and the hospital reports the facility fee as revenue. The rule that enables this transfer is not a law of nature. It is a line in the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule and the Outpatient Prospective Payment System, both of which are revised annually through notice-and-comment rulemaking. The people who write those rules are not elected. They are career staff at CMS, advised by the American Hospital Association and the American Medical Association, both of which have a direct financial interest in the outcome.

Hospital building exterior with modern architecture

Nonprofit Hospitals and the Accounting Fiction of Community Benefit

The nonprofit hospital is the most effective wealth-concentration vehicle in the American healthcare system. Under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code, nonprofit hospitals are exempt from federal income tax, state income tax, local property tax, and sales tax. In exchange, they are required to provide community benefit, a term that has never been defined in statute. The IRS allows hospitals to count a wide range of activities as community benefit, including the unpaid portion of Medicaid and Medicare bills, which the hospitals call shortfalls but which are really just the difference between their charges and the government’s payment rates.

The accounting rule is the key. A hospital can report a $100 million community benefit by taking the difference between its gross charges and the Medicare payment rate, even though no hospital actually expects to collect its gross charges. Gross charges are a list price that exists only for accounting and negotiation purposes. The hospital then counts the difference as a charitable contribution to the community, satisfying its tax-exemption requirement while paying its executives multi-million-dollar salaries and accumulating cash reserves that rival private equity funds.

The distributional effect is not subtle. A nonprofit hospital in a wealthy suburb can report tens of millions in community benefit while suing low-income patients for unpaid bills, garnishing wages, and placing liens on homes. The hospital’s tax exemption is a federal subsidy, but it is not scored as a tax expenditure in the same way as the employer exclusion. It is simply not counted. The result is that the federal government subsidizes hospital consolidation through the tax code, the payment system, and the accounting rules, while the hospitals use that subsidy to acquire physician practices, raise prices, and concentrate market power.

The Federal Reserve’s Healthcare Debt Machine

The Federal Reserve does not set healthcare policy, but its monetary facilities have made healthcare debt a durable asset class. During the 2008 financial crisis and again in 2020, the Fed created emergency lending facilities that purchased corporate bonds, including bonds issued by hospital systems and healthcare corporations. The Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility and the Municipal Liquidity Facility were not designed for healthcare, but they became de facto healthcare financing programs because hospital systems are among the largest issuers of corporate and municipal debt.

The mechanism is straightforward. A hospital system issues bonds to finance an acquisition or a new outpatient tower. The Fed’s facility purchases those bonds, which lowers the hospital’s borrowing costs and signals to private investors that the debt is safe. The hospital then uses the cheaper capital to acquire physician practices, which allows it to bill facility fees and negotiate higher private insurance rates. The higher rates flow to the hospital’s bondholders, who include the Fed, pension funds, and wealthy individuals. The cost is borne by workers through higher premiums and by taxpayers through the Fed’s balance sheet.

The distributional effect is hidden in the Fed’s accounting. When the Fed purchases a corporate bond, it does not record the purchase as a federal outlay. It records it as an asset on its balance sheet, financed by reserves. The interest income from the bond flows back to the Treasury, but the capital gains accrue to the bondholders who sold to the Fed or who held the bonds as prices rose. The Fed’s facilities are not subject to congressional appropriation, and their distributional effects are not scored by the CBO. They are monetary policy, not fiscal policy, which means they operate outside the normal budget process. The rules are built, not given.

The Risk Adjustment Shell Game

The Affordable Care Act created a risk adjustment program that transfers money from health plans with healthier enrollees to plans with sicker enrollees. The stated goal is to prevent insurers from cherry-picking healthy patients. The actual effect is to create a new set of winners and losers based on the coding practices of insurers, not the health status of patients.

The risk adjustment formula uses hierarchical condition categories to predict each enrollee’s expected costs. Insurers that document more diagnoses receive higher risk scores and larger transfers. Insurers that document fewer diagnoses receive lower scores and pay into the program. The result is a coding arms race in which insurers hire vendors to review medical records, add diagnoses, and maximize risk scores. The transfers are not based on actual costs; they are based on the documentation practices of the insurer. A plan that aggressively codes its enrollees can receive millions in risk adjustment transfers without providing any additional care.

The distributional effect is regressive. Large insurers with sophisticated coding operations can extract transfers from smaller insurers and from the federal government. The transfers are funded by premiums, which are paid by employers and workers. The coding vendors are paid by the insurers. The patients receive no direct benefit from the risk adjustment transfer; they simply become data points in a formula that determines which corporation receives the money. The rule that enables this transfer is a regulation written by CMS, not a statute passed by Congress. It is revised annually, and the revisions are shaped by the insurers who have the resources to comment on the proposed rule.

Medical billing documents and stethoscope on a desk

What This Means for the American Economy

Healthcare spending is not a drag on the economy because it is wasteful. It is a drag because it is a transfer mechanism that moves wealth from workers to asset owners through the specific design of statutes, scoring conventions, accounting rules, and monetary facilities. The employer exclusion transfers wealth to high earners. The prospective payment system transfers wealth to hospital corporations. The community benefit standard transfers wealth to nonprofit hospital executives and bondholders. The Fed’s facilities transfer wealth to corporate bondholders. The risk adjustment program transfers wealth to large insurers.

None of these transfers is visible in the headline budget numbers. The employer exclusion is a tax expenditure, not an outlay. The community benefit standard is an accounting convention, not a scored subsidy. The Fed’s facilities are monetary policy, not fiscal policy. The risk adjustment program is a transfer among insurers, not a federal program. The result is that the largest wealth-concentration machine in the American economy operates outside the normal budget process, invisible to voters and insulated from democratic accountability.

The historical comparison is instructive. In the 1960s, Medicare was debated as a social insurance program that would pool risk across generations. In the 1980s, the prospective payment system was debated as a cost-control measure. In the 2010s, the Affordable Care Act was debated as a coverage expansion. None of those debates addressed the distributional architecture of the payment system. The rules were built piecemeal, by different committees, under different scoring conventions, and the distributional effects were never scored or debated. The result is a system that presents as neutral technique while quietly transferring wealth upward.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is the employer-sponsored insurance exclusion considered a subsidy?

The exclusion allows workers to receive health insurance premiums from their employers without paying income tax on the value of those premiums. If the same worker received the same amount as cash wages, they would pay income tax on it. The difference between the tax they would pay and the tax they actually pay is a subsidy. Because the subsidy is delivered through the tax code rather than through a direct spending program, it is scored as a tax expenditure and excluded from the headline budget. The largest beneficiaries are workers in the highest tax brackets, who receive the largest tax savings per dollar of premium.

How do facility fees contribute to healthcare cost growth?

Facility fees are charges that hospitals add to bills for services performed in hospital-owned outpatient departments. They exist because Medicare created separate payment categories for hospital outpatient departments and physician offices, and private insurers copied that structure. When a hospital acquires a physician practice, it can reclassify the practice as a hospital outpatient department and bill a facility fee for services that were previously billed as physician office visits. The fee is not a medical cost; it is a legal artifact of the hospital’s corporate status. It raises prices for patients and employers without adding any clinical value.

What is the community benefit standard, and why does it matter?

The community benefit standard is the legal requirement that nonprofit hospitals must meet to maintain their tax-exempt status under Section 501(c)(3). The standard has never been defined in statute, and the IRS allows hospitals to count a wide range of activities as community benefit, including the difference between their gross charges and government payment rates. Because gross charges are list prices that no hospital expects to collect, the community benefit calculation is largely an accounting fiction. It allows hospitals to report large charitable contributions while paying executive salaries, accumulating cash reserves, and suing low-income patients for unpaid bills.

How does the Federal Reserve affect healthcare prices?

The Federal Reserve’s emergency lending facilities have purchased corporate and municipal bonds issued by hospital systems and healthcare corporations. These purchases lower borrowing costs for hospitals, which use the cheaper capital to acquire physician practices and expand their market power. The acquisitions allow hospitals to negotiate higher private insurance rates and bill facility fees, which raises prices for employers and workers. The Fed’s purchases are not scored as federal outlays, and their distributional effects are not subject to congressional appropriation. They operate outside the normal budget process.

A Next Step for This Publication

This article is the first in a series on the distributional forensics of federal economic policy instruments. The next installment will examine the Medicare Advantage risk adjustment machine in detail, including the specific hierarchical condition categories that generate the largest transfers and the vendors who profit from coding intensity. Readers who want to follow that thread should watch for the upcoming piece on the coding arms race and its effect on federal outlays. The goal is not to propose a reform. The goal is to make the rules visible, because the rules are where the wealth moves.